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Forecast correction during covid

Modeling difference between shipped and ordered quantities.Intention is to be used a way to forecast forecast errors and offer a correction term to the model. Some Data exploration.1) conditional box plots2) feature importance on mode trained topredict shortage or no shortage3) impact of before / after feature When did "covid" start?1) build models to predict before / after some set date 2) adjust date across 20203) observe cohen's cappa across date cut point4) seems like covid "hit" california in april 2020 - which lines up with my memory at least californiaaugmenteddatabinary categoricalbefore / after Row Filter Excel Reader Constant ValueColumn Filter Linear Correlation Correlation Filter Sorter Column Filter Number To String Rule Engine all data 2020-02-01 forward binary variable forbefore / after 2020-02-01 Math Formula Random Forest Learner(Regression) Partitioning Random Forest Predictor(Regression) Numeric Scorer Random ForestLearner Partitioning Random ForestPredictor Scorer Create Date&TimeRange Date&Time to String Table Row ToVariable Loop Start Variable toTable Row Loop End Sorter String to Date&Time Moving Aggregation Line Plot Modeling difference between shipped and ordered quantities.Intention is to be used a way to forecast forecast errors and offer a correction term to the model. Some Data exploration.1) conditional box plots2) feature importance on mode trained topredict shortage or no shortage3) impact of before / after feature When did "covid" start?1) build models to predict before / after some set date 2) adjust date across 20203) observe cohen's cappa across date cut point4) seems like covid "hit" california in april 2020 - which lines up with my memory at least californiaaugmenteddatabinary categoricalbefore / afterRow Filter Excel Reader Constant ValueColumn Filter Linear Correlation Correlation Filter Sorter Column Filter Number To String Rule Engine all data 2020-02-01 forward binary variable forbefore / after 2020-02-01 Math Formula Random Forest Learner(Regression) Partitioning Random Forest Predictor(Regression) Numeric Scorer Random ForestLearner Partitioning Random ForestPredictor Scorer Create Date&TimeRange Date&Time to String Table Row ToVariable Loop Start Variable toTable Row Loop End Sorter String to Date&Time Moving Aggregation Line Plot

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Created by: corey
Created at: 2021-04-27
On NodePit since: 2021-04-27
Last update: 2024-04-26
Created with KNIME version: v4.3.2

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