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Retail Sales Forecasting and Seasonal Trend Analysis using SARIMA

Retail Sales Database Integration & Secure Credential Access
Seasonality Pattern of Monthly Retail Sales (2020-2025)
Data Splitting
Train-Test Split Ratio: 83% / 17% (60 vs 12 rows)
  • Training: 60 Monthly observations (2020-2024)

  • Testing: 12 Monthly observations (2025)

SARIMA FORECASTING
(Predict 12-Month Horizon for 2025)

Generate sales forecast for 2025 using SARIMA model from previous step

Retail Sales Forecasting and Seasonal Trend Analysis using SARIMA

This Workflow aims to analyze and forecast monthly retails sales trends (2020-2025) using Time Series Analysis. The goal is to build a data-driven forecasting model capable of accurately predicting future sales while capturing both trend and seasonal patterns. Forecasting Retail sales helps optimize inventory management, financial planning, and strategic marketing decisions. By Leveraging SARIMA workflow in KNIME, this workflow demonstrates a fully automated, reproducible, and interpretable time series forecasting pipeline - without requiring a direct coding.

Compute Forecast Errors

Absolute Difference and % Deviation

Evaluate Model Accuracy

Mean Absolute Error and Mean Absolute Percentage Error

Evaluation Table and Visualization

Final Forecast Table and Line plot

Creates a connection to a MySQL server via its JDBC driver
MySQL Connector
Absolute Difference(Error)
Math Formula
Credentials Widget
Select Retails Salestable
DB Table Selector
Flow variable for Retail Sales Data DB table
Variable Creator
Import live sales recordsinto Knime
DB Reader
2022-2024 Data for Training
Date&Time-based Row Filter
Percentage Error(% Deviation)
Math Formula
MAE & MAPE
GroupBy
2025 Data for Testing
Date&Time-based Row Filter
Table View
Capturing trend and yearlyseasonal cycles for forecastingfuture months
SARIMA Learner (Labs)
Column Resorter
Check for seasonality visually(Repeating December peaks)
Line Plot (Plotly)
MAPE result = below 5%
Table View
Column Renamer
Forecasted salesfor each month of 2025
SARIMA Predictor (Labs)
VisualizeForecast vs. Actual Sales
Line Plot (Plotly)
Merge Predicted & ActualValues
Joiner
Image View
Filter Data Columnsfor Comparison
Column Filter
Original Data SetRetail_Sales_Data_2020-2025
CSV Reader

Nodes

Extensions

Links